Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Pahang bauxite crisis and Felda settlers (update 3a): Chat with a local observer on bauxite riches hope of the 10 acre smallholder, topsoil could be kept for restoration to planting

Editor's note: Escalation of the bauxite mining problem in Pahang with January's 3 month stop-work and MACC investigation. Speaking with a Pahang politician, I hear that there had been less opposition (compared to the Lynas rare earth processing plant) as more locals have financial benefit from the bauxite mining and its supply-chain.


3 February 2016: Chat with a local observer on bauxite riches hope of the 10 acre smallholder


Update from a reader, 3 Feb afternoon: It should be possible for the smallholders with the help of a competent lawyer to insist when they sell the bauxite in their land, that the topsoil be carefully stored to one side of the site and leveled back over the site when mining is complete. There is no reason why oil palms should not grow as well as before under such conditions. This is a regular requirement in Australian mining contracts.


Editor's note: I was recently on the line with a Kuantan-based businessman - a keen local observer. Some background information on the economic calculus for smallholders and mining as follows,

a) For oil palm 10 acre lot (e.g. Felda smallholder), the outlook is that the (illegal?) miner clears the land in 3 months and pays RM 7-10 per tonne, and then it also depends on yield. The smallholder hopes to earn RM1-1.5 million. However the more likely payout may be RM700k-RM1.5 million. A 10 acre plot has about 200,000 tonnes of material. Palm oil experts say that it is not possible to replant oil palm on this land any more.

b) The 3-month moratorium was a bad hit, as this makes some of these deals null and void. Politicians have been greatly concerned about the interest of these smallholders.

c) Locals point out that the China buyers came to Malaysia because Indonesia stopped exporting. These buyers are paying US$29-30 per tonne, and if you clean up the clay a bit you can get US$60/tonne.

d) If you drive your car from the mining area to the Kuantan Port, the entire road is red-desert dusty. During the monsoon season, when this is combined with dust, your car is "repainted" red.



Picture screenshot source: http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/10/settler-rejects-rm1mil-bauxite-offer/

Others in the palm oil sector have written: Felda settlers are cutting down their palm trees to allow bauxite to be mined on their land. This is very short term once off gain. Once the top soil is removed it will take 10-20 years before oil palm can be planted again so there is no income from the palm fruits until then. Simple maths for 4 hectares of palm oil planted. Once off bauxite payment is RM300,000 (if it is really paid). Loss of continuous income for years at RM50,000 per year. In addition to the social economic issues there are also serious environmental issues.




11 January 2016: News links


Front page of The Star, 11 January 2016


Miners threaten violence BY QISHIN TARIQ 11 January 2016; ... Offers of money, con men and threats of violence have become the bane of families living in the Felda settlement in Bukit Goh here ever since the area was identified as a huge deposit of the “red gold” – bauxite. Settler Mohd Hamdi Shuib, 49, said his father went into depression after being conned by contractors who wanted to mine the family’s 10ha lot. He said the contractors offered RM200,000 but after paying RM40,000 and clearing off the family’s palm trees, they did not mine the land or pay the balance. “Ayah pening (My father doesn’t know what to do),” he said. Without palm trees to harvest and no payment from the miners, the money quickly ran out, as settlers are required to pay Felda RM47,000 in replanting fees if they cut down their trees. “Luckily, it was a contract kedai kopi which allowed us to exit the deal,” said Mohd Hamdi, adding that many other settlers were not as lucky. He said the contractors threatened his family when he approached other contractors to do the mining. “But nothing untoward happened.”....http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/11/miners-threaten-violence-contractors-also-offer-money-to-felda-settlers-but-shortchange-them-instead/

Solace in moratorium BY AFIQ ISA  11 January 2016; ... The moratorium concerns three key stages. The first is to clear all stockpiles at the Kuantan Port. The second is to remove stockpiles outside of port areas, which are said to have contributed to the pollution of the sea. The last stage is the construction of a central area to house washing and storage facilities for the bauxite deposits to be stored. Abd Wahid added that a lack of infrastructure to handle ore and bauxite deposits had exacerbated the problems in Kuantan, where large stockpiles are kept in open fields, while part of the deposits may seep into the sea. The moratorium will no doubt be a short-term pinch for operators who currently trade or mine bauxite in the state. http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/01/11/solace-in-moratorium/

Kuantan folk avoiding raw water and fishing  11 January 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/11/kuantan-folk-avoiding-raw-water-and-fishing/

Buyers fear harm from fish BY FOONG PEK YEEandADRIAN CHAN 11 January 2016; Consumers buying fish here are being extra careful – they fear the controversial bauxite mining in Kuantan, about 195km away may have caused environmental pollution and eating the fish may prove harmful. At the Bentong market here, a fishmonger identified only as Wong said there were those who were scared to eat fish from Kuantan for health reasons. “Falling sick is very costly these days,” she said, referring to the high cost of medical treatment, when met at the Bentong market here. She said she and her husband had been fishmongers for some 20 years and they sourced their fish from the Selayang wholesale market in Selangor. She said there were several factors affecting the price of fish, and she reckoned that the bauxite scare might have resulted in a slight rise in prices recently... http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/11/buyers-fear-harm-from-fish-fishermen-allay-concerns-that-there-is-bauxite-contamination/

Potential bauxite ban may dent China stockpiles 5 January 2016; A potential suspension on bauxite mining in Malaysia, the world’s top exporter of the aluminium-making ingredient, could dent stockpiles in China but is unlikely to curb breakneck output in the aluminium sector there, industry and analysts said yesterday.... World prices for aluminium, used in everything from planes and trains to packaging, sank to their lowest in more than six years last November as China grapples with oversupply fuelled by its slowing economy. That forced China’s loss-making industry to band together to pledge production cuts, with markets looking out for any other signs output could ease.... “A suspension in Malaysian bauxite mining will impact stockpiles, but it won't impact China's metal production,” said Paul Adkins, managing director of consultancy AZ China. He added that a three-month ban could shave about six million tonnes off China’s current bauxite stockpiles of around 25-30 million tonnes. Malaysia accounted for over 40% of China’s 49 million tonnes of bauxite imports across January to November last year.... The country’s largely unregulated bauxite mining industry has grown rapidly since Indonesia banned exports of the material in early 2014, forcing China to seek supplies elsewhere... http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/01/05/potential-bauxite-ban-may-dent-china-stockpiles/

The bauxite boom or bane BY AFIQ ISAandINTAN FARHANA ZAINUL 19 December 2015 http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2015/12/19/the-bauxite-boom-or-bane/


MB wrong, bauxite mining killing our businesses, say locals BY MUZLIZA MUSTAFA 8 January 2016  - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/bauxite-mining-ruined-our-business-say-local-residents#sthash.eTEj71oJ.dpuf



10 January 2016 - News links



NGO prepared to help curb abuse by bauxite miners by Bernama | Published on January 10, 2016; It is learnt, 248 of the 762 Bukit Goh settlers had allowed bauxite mining on their land involving an area of 1,005.6 hectares since 2013 to date.   Wahid was also fo the view that the three-month moratorium starting from Jan 15 as sufficient and it was not necessary to extend it as the mining activities are a source of income for the settlers involved. "We abide by the decision for a three-month halt to give time to the government to improve all earlier weaknesses," he said.  http://english.astroawani.com/malaysia-news/ngo-prepared-help-curb-abuse-bauxite-miners-88831

Settler has no regrets turning down RM1mil bauxite offer  10 January 2016; KUANTAN: A resident of Kampung Felda Bukit Goh is determined not to lease her land for bauxite mining despite getting an offer of RM1mil as payment.   Salwani Tajuddin, 37, said even though many of the villagers had become “instant millionaires” after leasing their land, their lives seemed to be listless...Salwani said early last year, she was approached by a man who offered her a deposit of RM500,000 to mine bauxite in her four-hectare oil palm plantation, which she rejected.   She said the man, however, came back a few days later to offer a higher amount of RM1mil.   "After I turn down the RM1mil offer, the man was furious and said I was 'stupid' for rejecting that much money.   "But for me, those who lease their land to bauxite operators are the real losers as the money can only last for a while, and their land will not return to its previous condition," she said. As a settler for the last 18 years, Salwani said she did not want her land to be affected by bauxite mining activities. She was also approached by the same man a few months later requesting that her land be used as a “stockpile” area for lorries and bauxite ore with a payment of RM5,000 monthy but she turned it down.... Her father Tajuddin Harun, 68, who runs a food stall at the village said bauxite operators did not fulfil their promise to provide a monthly compensation of RM1,000 for every trader and RM500 for every house.   Tajuddin said he only received a compensation of RM1,000 in November.  "Instead, business is affected as not many customers are patronising our stalls due to the dust from the lorries carrying bauxite. And I am forced to fork out RM6,000 to instal this canvas (to cover the stall)," he added. - Bernama  http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/10/settler-rejects-rm1mil-bauxite-offer/

MACC nabs three more over illegal bauxite mining 10 January 2016  http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/10/macc-nabs-three-more-over-illegal-bauxite-mining/

Three more arrested for allegedly protecting illegal bauxite miners  by danial albakri 9 January 2016; “All the individuals, aged between 44 and 59 years of age, are members of the public.  “They are believed to have acted as middlemen in the illegal sale of mineral ore transportation documents or Form 13D to unlicensed miners.    “They have been remanded for seven days starting today in order to aid in the investigation following Section 17(a) of the MACC Act 2009,” it said. The MACC said it was still conducting investigations to locate those who were involved in bribery that allowed illegal mining activity that accumulated an estimated total of RM187mil in lost royalty last year. http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/09/bauxite-mining-three-more-arrested/

Transport Ministry wants bauxite-hauling lorries to slow down  by adrian chan 9 January 2016; "They are a danger to residents and are polluting the environment," he said, referring to the clouds of bauxite dust that lorries kick up. Liow said the proposal was being studied at present, believing that the limit could be lowered.  He added that if drivers continue to flaunt the rules, the Ministry would be forced to impose a "black box" ruling on all lorries transporting bauxite to automatically limit its speed. The Ministry, according to Liow, was also planning to restrict the number of routes allowed for transporting bauxite. "We also want to ensure lorries are cleaned and covered up before driving on main roads," he said. http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/09/transport-ministry-wants-bauxite-hauling-lorries-to-slow-down/

Perlis mufti: Pollution from bauxite mining more dangerous than vape  8 January 2016  http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/08/perlis-mufti-pollution-from-bauxite-mining-more-dangerous-than-vape/

Pahang princess glad but questions duration of bauxite mining ban   8 January 2016 http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016/01/08/pahang-princess-glad-over-bauxite-mining-ban-but-questions-duration-of-stop-order/

Earlier news

Putrajaya not learning from past mistakes, says Rafidah over bauxite controversy Published: 7 January 2016 - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/consider-environment-before-approving-projects-says-rafidah#sthash.7HHZpu3c.dpuf

Fishermen claim their livelihood affected by bauxite contamination by Bernama | Published on January 03, 2016; "For years we have endured hardship as a result of bauxite mining activities, our income is affected due to poor 'harvest' how long will this persist?  "In the past, we can easily catch 50kg mackerels, but now it is so hard to even get 10kg," he told Bernama here, Saturday.  Che Daud said the situation became serious during the recent monsoon season where the water in the coastal areas including the Balok beach had been contaminated with minerals.  Another fisherman Mustaffa Ibrahim, 52, claimed that the red bauxite-contaminated water not only affected the Balok river and Batu Hitam beach but also the ship route carrying the mineral from the Kuantan Port.... http://english.astroawani.com/malaysia-news/fishermen-claim-their-livelihood-affected-bauxite-contamination-87790

Stopping the red tide  31 December 2015; BAUXITE mining in Pahang and Terengganu which generates millions in revenue, yet appears to be running riot now, will need regulatory tightening to protect the health, quality of life and environmental future of affected communities. And, reining in illegal miners is central to the exercise. There has been a tremendous surge in unregulated bauxite mining activities in the two states, largely to satisfy the hungry Chinese market following Indonesia’s ban on the export of bauxite ore, used for aluminium production. Notwithstanding the economic benefits, the feeling is that the unregulated multimillion ringgit industry is doing more harm than good, as people in Pahang have begun to observe even seawater turning red.... The latest incident took place yesterday, when the normally clear water between Sungai Pengorak and Pantai Batu Hitam in Pahang turned murky red, after heavy rain from Sunday until Tuesday. Some residents living along the beach believe that the phenomenon was caused by extensive bauxite mining activities which had blown clouds of red dust towards the sea. There was no official explanation for the occurrence, but environmentalists have said that local rivers and the shores along Kuantan were frequently stained red from mining run-off. Residents have also complained of a rise in respiratory problems and skin rashes. Prolonged exposure to polluted water and red dust from bauxite mining can increase the risk of developing cancer, say experts. Marine life, too, will suffer... In August, the NST Special Probes Team, through a series of articles, highlighted the issue of environmental deterioration and toxic contamination of water from bauxite residue. Independent laboratory tests had revealed that water samples from the affected areas contained high levels of heavy metals and traces of radioactive, which were hazardous to humans.... Alarmed residents in Pahang wonder if they can trust the authorities to act in their interest. They accuse the authorities of turning a blind eye to what is happening. The illegal miners have allowed greed to overtake their principles. They are reaping a windfall — earning up to RM66 million a month — from the uncontrolled mining of bauxite and it would be hard to stop them, unless the authorities act swiftly and decisively. There are indications that leaders are responding to the alarm raised, and rightly, too. Pahang revoked the licences of 34 mining contractors in July, and Terengganu made the move to freeze all bauxite mining applications in September...http://www.nst.com.my/news/2015/12/119814/stopping-thered-tide

Pahang MB lashes out at bauxite industry players  by ong han seanandqishin tariq 17 December 2015; “I have met, at least four times, with the operators, contractors and transport operators advising them to take into consideration the hardship the people are experiencing due to their irresponsible mode of extracting the ore. “Sadly, this advice has fallen on deaf ears,” he said. The Federal Government also stepped in to help. “InsyaAllah, the state government will come up with a comprehensive plan to manage this issue by the end of the year. “In the final analysis, the social benefit and welfare of the innocent common people must outweigh whatever economic benefits,” said Adnan. The Mentri Besar also expressed his appreciation to the press for reporting on the bauxite mining activities in Pahang. The Star on its front page yesterday reported about experts raising the red flag that the bauxite mining areas in Pahang could cause dangerous mudslides and worsen floods if monsoon rains lash the state.  Even those who support the mining activities are calling for a stop until the rains go away....http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2015/12/17/pahang-mb-lashes-out-at-bauxite-industry-players/
 

Bauxite mining probe hits IPO-bound Spring Energy By F Saad Friday, 16 Oct 2015; Spring Energy Resources Bhd’s bauxite mining – and therefore its initial public offering (IPO) – may hit a snag after the Pahang government’s decision to revoke most bauxite-mining licences. “A large portion of the company’s future income is meant to come from bauxite mining. In any case, the state is looking into all bauxite mining, legal and otherwise, which could interrupt the day-to-day processes of the business and slow income. This means the company must come up with alternatives and approach the Securities Commission to see if it can go ahead with the IPO,” says an investment banker.Bukit Goh near Kuantan, occupied mainly by Felda settlers, was in the spotlight in July after it was found mining in the Felda settlement was not sanctioned.Many settlers say they have been cheated by miners who had promised payment in return for mining on oil-palm plantations. Felda has since ceased all mining in the area.That month, Pahang’s government revoked the mineral-ore licences of 34 contractors, as mining in the state grew rampant. Only 11 operators have been allowed to continue. - See more at: http://www.focusmalaysia.my/Mainstream/Bauxite%20mining%20probe%20hits%20IPO-bound%20Spring%20Energy#sthash.N4oR7Dda.dpuf

Sue bauxite miners yourselves, Pahang MB tells Felda settlers Published: 18 July 2015; ...He said the Felda settlers would have to file the suits themselves because the state government was unable to press criminal charges against the bauxite miners who had struck a deal with the settlers. "The (state) government cannot help them. If they have been cheated, they can sue the other party, but it is not easy," he said at his Aidilfitri open house yesterday. googletag.cmd.push(function() {googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1400601790726-3');}); It had been reported that miners had offered between RM50,000 and RM100,000 to the Felda settlers to extract bauxite from their land now planted with oil palm....It had been reported that 71 settlers in Bukit Goh, who had allowed their land to be mined for bauxite, claimed they had been cheated in the deal. Some of these settlers had received a notice from the Land and Mines Office stating that they had committed an offence by mining without a licence or not having mortgaged their land legally under the Mineral Enactment 2001. They face the possibility of being fined up to RM500,000 or sentenced to a maximum jail term of 10 years, or both, upon conviction. – Bernama, July 18, 2015. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/sue-bauxite-miners-yourselves-pahang-mb-tells-felda-settlers#sthash.TCXiNjBC.dpuf

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Malaysia pension fund watch: Tabung Haji spotlight, assurance deposits safe

Editor's note: I've always had this topic as something to cover, but never settled down to it. Will start to gather some links on this now.


27 Jan 2016: Tabung Haji spotlight, assurance deposits safe

Editor's note: some indicators compiled from TH annual reports here:
Note: Just to share research info. Not all info has been put in - bonus rates. Please check TH annual reports for most accurate info. 

Tabung Haji confirms Bank Negara’s warning, says deposits safe BY ANISAH SHUKRY 26 January 2016; ....Lembaga Tabung Haji today confirmed Bank Negara had warned it in a letter that its liabilities outweighed its assets, but assured contributors that their deposits were safe and that the pilgrims' fund was not facing any financial difficulty. It said Bank Negara's evaluation had not taken into account the pilgrims fund's investment portfolios, such as the shares of its subsidiaries, its plantation assets and property. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/tabung-haji-confirms-bank-negaras-warning-says-deposits-safe#sthash.1OAmfgeQ.dpuf


Bank Negara lauds Tabung Haji’s bolstering of finances BY ANISAH SHUKRY 26 January 2016; ...nearly nine million depositors... Meanwhile, Bank Negara today said it issued advisories to non-bank financial institutions such as Tabung Haji to ensure they continued to be well managed and performed their roles effectively. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/bank-negara-lauds-tabung-hajis-bolstering-of-finances#sthash.weQzDPr0.dpuf


Tabung Haji reserves in the red, warns Bank Negara BY ANISAH SHUKRY 26 January 2016; ....Tabung Haji reportedly has only 98 sen in assets for every RM1 in liability. Bank Negara says its predicament is because of the practice of declaring higher dividends than it can afford... Tabung Haji’s deposits were highly concentrated among a small number of contributors – 5% of whom owned 75% of the total deposits. This exposed the pilgrims’ fund to the risk of a mass withdrawal of deposits, should contributors lose faith in it, she said....Last year, Tabung Haji courted controversy when it purchased 0.64ha land in Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) for RM188 million from 1Malaysia Development (1MDB) to develop a residential tower. It paid 43 times the price the debt-ridden 1MDB had paid for the plot, which it bought from the federal government five years ago.  Following public backlash, Tabung Haji in May vowed to sell off the land at a profit, but until today, there has been no news of the sale. - See more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/tabung-haji-reserves-in-the-red-warns-bank-negara#sthash.2U5fumU0.dpuf


Tabung Haji 2014 Annual Report info and link here: 

https://cms-th.s3.amazonaws.com/Lembaga+Tabung+Haji+Annual+Report+2014+%28small%29.pdf

Monday, January 25, 2016

Long cycles: Mulling a posting in Linkedin by Jeffrey Tian, on bean stocks in 25 year commodity cycle

25 Jan 2016: Mulling a posting in Linkedin by Jeffrey Tian, on bean stocks in 25 year commodity cycle

source: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/does-anybody-do-super-long-term-commodity-cycle-analysis-jeffrey-tian?trk=hp-feed-article-title-publish

Editor's comments:

  • Thanks for sharing. It is great to see on a stock basis the long term c. 25 year cycle for commodity. 
  • I like to look and wonder (but never really taken time to analyse) current price against long term trend price trends. These have been mean reverting! But this is a rather historical perspective as you remain an observer of how long it takes to revert to trend. Maybe interesting to chart short vs long term price with standard deviation overlay (for equities, I think +/1 2 SDs was usually pretty interesting). 
  • In previous career, I spent time on equity market price indicators and looked at relative price of companies in different parts of the value chain (but price history often not long enough): commodity trading, production, consumer goods (e.g. Unilever, Mcdonald's - which is still really high) and the billionaire owners buying of property and paintings. 
  • On long cycle issues, a) the terms of trade trend against commodities was one of the things learned in development economics course - did biofuels and bankers/traders impact this indicator a lot? And/or can we see any positives from agro-tech from Monsanto etc? b) Now, it seems we have to cope with capacity build up in oil & gas + renewables thanks to low interest rates. c) At same time, what is future impact of "4th industrial revolution" going forward or is agro still the same?



4 July 2014: In researching commodity economics, the long cycles are often of interest. 

Editor's note: I was talking to a senior commodity economist last night on how far prices have reached above the mean; notably palm oil, well supported by crude oil prices (with the significant usage of palm biodiesel; it would be good to look at how many SDs above mean commodity prices are running right now). He also thought that the often cited USD70/barrel cost of production might be overstated (only some offshore new fields face such costs; and they would keep pumping if cashflow positive, no?). Just prior to the late 2000s run up, reports from onshore Canada and USA on shale gas (and fracking?) indicated costs in the mid-USD20s.

What will happen when interest rates get off the floor? Here's macrotrends.net's LIBOR rates since the mid-1980s: http://www.macrotrends.net/1433/historical-libor-rates-chart


Here's a chart of oil prices from 1869-2011 (2010 prices) from wtrg.com:

100 year on gold and silver (Jan 2012 base): http://www.macrotrends.net/1333/gold-and-silver-prices-100-year-historical-chart

30 year charts here:
soybean oil: http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=soybean-oil&months=360
palm oil: http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=palm-oil&months=360
sugar: http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=sugar&months=360
rubber: http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=rubber&months=360
................

Talking about cycles, on the wealth-gap cycle, it appears we are back to the 1920s, a period of very buoyant market and commodity prices... The Richest Rich Are in a Class by Themselves By Peter Coy April 03, 2014; http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-04-03/top-tenth-of-1-percenters-reaps-all-the-riches#r=rss; The richest 0.1 percent of the American population has rebuilt its share of wealth back to where it was in the Roaring Twenties. And the richest 0.01 percent’s share has grown even more rapidly, quadrupling since the eve of the Reagan Revolution.... These figures come out of a clever analysis by economists Emmanuel Saez of the University of California at Berkeley and Gabriel Zucman of the London School of Economics, who is a visiting professor at Berkeley. The Internal Revenue Service asks about income, not wealth, which is the market value of real estate, stocks, bonds, and other assets. Saez and Zucman were able to deduce wealth by exploiting IRS data going back to when the federal income tax was instituted in 1913. They figured out how much property different strata of society owned by looking at the income that was generated by that property, such as dividends and capital gains.....

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Researching Southeast Asia commodity business: In contact with Shakila Yacob and Benoit Henriet, hoping to meet Lesley Potter and Noboru Ishikawa on peat and smallholder economy

As part of my research work for my book (in drafting) on "the business of the palm oil boom" I have been delving into various literature to understand more about the context and background of the commodity business in the region. Also, interest in palm oil history extends to other regions!

It is wonderful to get in touch with other researchers in this process. I'll start to list some of them here, as I get in contact them! Thanks to friends for referrals too!

For some of my own publications and presentations, you can check here: http://independent.academia.edu/YulengKhor
 

6 January 2016: In contact with Shakila Yacob and Benoit Henriet, hoping to meet Lesley Potter and Noboru Ishikawa on peat and smallholder economy




Noboru Ishikawa, http://www.cseas.kyoto-u.ac.jp/en/about/staff_all/division2/ishikawa-noboru/, where he writes: "...My project is a multi-sited, multi-disciplinary empirical study, a strategic combination of field sciences. To understand the transformation of biomass society in the tropics, the research seeks to examine the articulation points between social systems and natural systems....The development of Bornean plantation field is morally endorsed and financially backed up by the international community in search of a sustainable development path for human society. Planted forests of oil palm and acacia mangium as a potential energy source are regarded as good for carbon emissions, and people on Wall Street produce products for the securitization of tropical biomass under the newly proposed REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation) initiative. The threshold between nature and non-nature is now being arbitrarily manipulated by capitalists, the states, and international organizations. Articulating the field study of local peoples, cultures, and landscapes, namely anthropology, geography, history, political economy, environmental economics, plant and animal ecology, hydrology, soil science, area informatics, and forest ecology, a research team is organized for examining the multi-dimensional driving forces of change in human/non-human interactions in a heterogeneous landscape consisting of oil/acacia plantations, primary and secondary forests, and swidden fields...."


Lesley Potter, https://crawford.anu.edu.au/people/visitors/lesley-potter, where she writes: "My research has been on two fronts: a) historical analysis of forests, grasslands and land-use change in Southeast Asia, especially Indonesia, examining colonial and postcolonial impacts of government policies on small farmers; and b) current ethnographic studies at village level in Indonesia, particularly in parts of Kalimantan and Sumatra. The recent focus has been on smallholder producers of tree-based commodities such as oil palm, rubber and coffee, with oil palm presently receiving the most attention. A desk study of alternative pathways for oil palm smallholders in Latin America and Central Africa was undertaken for CIFOR, which was followed by fieldwork on the ground in Cameroon, Colombia, Costa Rica and Ecuador. This work is currently being written up, together with some detailed updating of the Indonesian scene, especially impacts of the new transmigration program."


Shakila Yacob, http://www.researcherid.com/ProfileView.action?returnCode=ROUTER.Unauthorized&queryString=KG0UuZjN5WnikDkr0zr0q7nC1qMZMZWKeZV3lwCTVuw%253D&SrcApp=CR&Init=Yes, with papers including:
  • Bridges to new business; The economic decolonization of Indonesia
  • The 'Unfinished Business' of Malaysia's Decolonisation: The Origins of the Guthrie 'Dawn Raid'
  • The Thief at the End of the World: Rubber, Power, and the Seeds of Empire
  • Ford's Investment in Colonial Malaya, 1926-1957


Benoit Henriet, http://usaintlouis.academia.edu/Beno%C3%AEtHenriet, with papers / presentations including:
  • “Elusive natives”: escaping colonial control in the Leverville oil palm concession, Belgian Congo, 1923–1941, in Canadian Journal of African Studies/ La Revue canadienne des études africaines, 2015
  • 'Deglobalizing' the Postcolony? The changing faces of palm oil labour around Kikwit (DRC), 1911-2015, at Conference Empire, Labour, Citizenship. Current Research on Globalization. Brussels, 18-20 November 2015.
  • “Biopower in the Rainforest. Managing worker’s bodies in the Leverville oil palm concession (Belgian Congo, 1910-1940)” at 4th congress of the European Network in Universal and Global History (ENIUGH), Paris, 6 September 2014.
  • « Bleeding the Rainforest. Lever’s Palm Oil Concessions in Belgian Congo, 1910-1940 », at « Legal History PhD Day », Centre d’Histoire Judiciaire de l’Université Lille-2, Lille, 11 March 2014

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Haze control and oil palm smallholders - article published by The Habibie Center

Just to share our article on the Southeast Haze and smallholder issues.

17 December 2015: Updating with link to report on Felda case study by LMC International and note on 9 December 2015 Indonesia simultaneous local elections.


November 2015: Haze Control through the Sustenance of Indonesian Oil Palm Smallholders by Khor Yu Leng, Johan Saravanamuttu and Deborah Augustin.


Southeast Asia has arguably seen the worst-ever, certainly the longest, peat-driven haze-smoke pollution between September and November 2015.1 Some 43 million Indonesians were exposed continuously to toxic smog in Kalimantan and Sumatra. In neighboring Singapore and Malaysia, unhealthy to hazardous levels of haze-smoke were recorded causing the closing of schools and great consternation among the public. A number of Singaporean supermarkets stopped the sale of some products of alleged haze-causing companies..... haze pollution has continued on a yearly basis since 1997, due primarily to the burning on peatlands in Sumatra and Kalimantan. In 2015, fires have burned some two million hectares of land and over 100,000 fires have occurred. While El Nino climatic conditions exacerbate the situation, scientists consider it no longer a controlling factor, given the regularity of the problem.....

Going beyond reactive policies vis–à–vis the haze such as: (i) boycotts (possibly counter-productive), (ii) buying sustainably certified products (of rather limited reach and expected to create multi-tier prices, suppressing prices for its less desired peat zones) and (iii) suing and penalizing companies; we suggest several policy measures which would address a longer-term solution to the problem. In October, Indonesia’s attention rightly turned to the interests and prospects of its oil palm smallholders. At bottom line, what is required to handle the peat haze-smoke problem are proactive solutions......

Erratum on Pg 8 (previous version), corrected as follows: In fact, recent data from the Global Forest Watch website for 1 July to 2 November 2015 show that only 10 percent of fire alerts were on oil palm concession areas and 26 percent on pulpwood concessions.


You can find the article by downloading the Nov 2015 newsletter by The Habibie Center by clicking on this link:  http://admin.thcasean.org/assets/uploads/file/2015/11/Thinking_ASEAN_November_2015.compressed.pdf
Referring page: http://www.thcasean.org/publication - newsletters section




About the authors

We are also part of the LMC International team for a review of the Malaysia Felda smallholders project (released in early December 2015); referring page: http://www.carbonstockstudy.com/resource-centre/reports please refer to Consulting Report 12 – The Felda case study:  http://www.carbonstockstudy.com/carbonstockstudy/files/94/94ad98bf-119c-47c5-a355-1900822a6e04.pdf (excerpt below)

Source: Consulting Study 12: The Felda case study, LMC International Ltd. This study was conducted between March to April 2015 by Yuleng Khor of LMC with research associates Dr Johan Saravanamuttu and Deborah Augustin.


Synthesis meeting of HCS+ study consultants, source: http://www.carbonstockstudy.com/resource-centre/gallery/synthesis-meeting



Also in the same newsletter by The Habibie Center, some interesting infographics with CIFOR data on page 11:

 
Editor's note: The above focusses on land development phase. There are is also the (post land clearance) fire-haze-smoke zone labour and product supply-chains to consider. Local elections were held for 9 gubernatorial, 224 regent and 36 mayoral seats in Indonesia on 9 December 2015 - the first time that local elections are held simultaneously in one day. 



Nov 2015 newsletter by The Habibie Center by clicking on this link:  http://admin.thcasean.org/assets/uploads/file/2015/11/Thinking_ASEAN_November_2015.compressed.pdf
referring page: http://www.thcasean.org/publication - newsletters section






Other think tank and academic papers on the political economy of palm oil by this blog editor:

Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Air Asia news (update 8): AirAsia Flight 8501 Indonesia orders inspections, AirAsia pilots call in sick, Aircraft engineers press statement on cost pressure and unrealistic flight schedules

8 December 2015: Indonesia orders inspections, AirAsia pilots call in sick, Aircraft engineers press statement on cost pressure and unrealistic flight schedules

Indonesia Orders Airbus A320 Inspections After Crash Report by Fathiya Dahrul and Chris Brummitt December 3, 2015; Planes to be grounded if any repeat faults, ministry says. Investigator says Airbus recommended improving component.... Indonesia will inspect all Airbus Group SE A320 planes in the country and ground any with repeated faults, on the recommendation of investigators into the crash of an AirAsia Bhd. flight last December. A report released Tuesday cited a crack in the soldering of an electronic component on an A320 rudder, as well as pilot errors in responding to the issue, as reasons for the Dec. 28 crash of AirAsia Flight 8501. The head of the crash investigation told Bloomberg Thursday that in recent months Airbus has researched the component in question and recommended improvements. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-03/indonesia-orders-airbus-a320-plane-inspections-on-crash-report

Hundreds stranded at KLIA2 as AirAsia pilots call in sick - December 2, 2015 See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/hundreds-stranded-at-klia2-as-airasia-pilots-call-in-sick#sthash.atPCJtHl.dpuf

AirAsia plane that crashed into Java Sea flew to Perth 38 times by Geoffrey Thomas December 5, 2015 https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/30279792/fatal-air-asia-crash-plane-serviced-wa/

Aircraft engineers: "Air Asia accident highlights safety lessons not being learned"....AMSTERDAM, The Netherlands December 7, 2015 /PRNewswire - The CEO of Air Asia assures us that: "We will not leave any stone unturned to make sure the industry learns from this tragic incident." Although the Air Asia CEO comments are undoubtedly genuine, the fact is that without significant changes in attitude and commitment from CEO's and regulators on a global level, it could happen again.
This avoidable accident regrettably highlights that the industry as a whole has learnt little from two previous tragic accidents. The investigations into the "Spanair" and "Turkish Airlines" accidents (2008, 2009) highlighted very similar causal factors.
• Non reporting of defects.
• Inadequacies in the maintenance system allowing a repetitive low key fault, culminate in an avoidable accident.
• Crew training issues.
• Ineffectiveness of the current regulatory oversight system which consistently fails to detect safety issues prior to an accident whilst the same issues are detected immediately post-accident.
The public must be made aware that aviation today is driven by cost. Cost, not safety, is paramount. Pilots and Engineers are often placed under increasing pressure to accept second best, in order to ensure aircraft meet unrealistic flight schedules. The consequences of which are more incidents and ultimately more avoidable accidents.
With training of pilots and engineers often the bare minimum, spares and manpower levels reduced to unacceptable levels, and increased workloads; the working life of these safety professionals has become centred on lowering costs. The lesson to be learnt from this and other avoidable accidents is, that it is now time for the industry to listen to, and properly support, safety professionals trying to keep flying safe.
To that end Aircraft Engineers International are calling for the following reforms...
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/aircraft-engineers-international-air-asia-accident-highlights-safety-lessons-not-being-learned-by-aviation-industry-560846141.html


1 December 2015: AirAsia Flight 8501 Crash Caused by System Malfunctions, Pilot Response - solder problem had come up 23 times in the previous 12 months... responses to the problem were inadequate; AirAsia questions about accounting and cash flow


AirAsia Flight 8501 Crash Caused by System Malfunctions, Pilot Response - Crash report depicts confusion and escalating trouble in the cockpit By  Ben Otto in Jakarta, Indonesia, and Andy Pasztor in Los Angeles  Updated Dec. 1, 2015... Reflecting further lack of crew coordination, the report indicates the captain also was manipulating his control stick almost from the instant the stall warning activated to the time flight-data recording ended. In an emergency, cockpit discipline requires one of the two pilots to take over the controls and make all flight inputs.... After six separate orders by the Indonesian captain to “pull down, pull down” the first officer, who was French, replied in his native language: “What is going wrong,” according to the report.... That rise led to the fatal stall, Mardjono Siswosuwarno, lead investigator for the crash, said..... Investigators found the solder problem had come up 23 times in the previous 12 months, gaining in frequency in recent months. They suggested responses to the problem were inadequate.... .... The circuit breakers had been reset three days earlier by mechanics during troubleshooting on the ground. The report describes a series of discussions between ground staff and the flight’s captain, including an exchange in which the captain was told he could “reset [the breakers] whenever instructed” by computerized warning messages..... http://www.wsj.com/articles/rudder-system-failure-contributed-to-airasia-flight-8501-crash-1448956384?mod=djem10point


Accounting issues at Air Asia



UPDATE 1-AirAsia's planned accounting change seen boosting transparency By Anshuman Daga and Praveen Menon Nov 27, 2015  * AirAsia seeks to consolidate group accounts  * Move comes six months after accounts criticised  * AirAsia shares fall as much as 7 pct on Q3 net loss (Adds analyst comments, context)...On Thursday, AirAsia said it swung into a net loss in the third quarter after booking a large writedown on its money-losing Indonesian operations and foreign exchange losses. Its shares fell as much as 7 percent on Friday, hitting a nearly two-month low though trading still comfortably above multi-year lows struck in August.  The airline also said earnings missed forecasts at its Indonesian and Philippine associates, which have high debts to AirAsia....  http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/27/airasia-stocks-idUSL3N13M17L20151127#fAGlMZT7IgUTlyc0.99

AirAsia and Associates Need Course Correction - shares have rightly tumbled as investors question how the carrier accounts for relationships with associate airlines By  by Alex Frangos  June 18, 2015...GMT has rightly struck a nerve with investors. The crux of the argument is that heavily indebted AirAsia, listed in Malaysia, depends too much on struggling associate airlines that share its brand name, but operate semi-independently in countries around Asia, to pay it fees. These payments flatter the parent’s bottom line, while obscuring its true health... Much of that transfer is done through airline leasing agreements between the parent, which owns or leases the planes, and the associates who operate them. The parent charges fees for leasing, maintenance, insurance and the like, and in some cases sells planes outright at a profit to the associates, according to GMT. These deals have caused related party transactions at the parent to rise to 213% of operating profit last year, from 22% a decade ago.... What’s troubling is those deals are often not resulting in cash payments to the parent, implying the associates themselves are struggling. Amounts owed by related parties have swelled to 2.8 billion ringgit ($750 million) at the end of March, equivalent to 60% of shareholder equity. The
amount outstanding at the end of 2010 was just 380 million ringgit, or 10% of equity.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/airasia-and-associates-need-course-correction-1434603210

AirAsia shares fall on questions about accounting and cash flow by Jeremy Grant in London June 17, 2015;... Shares in AirAsia fell almost 7 per cent on Wednesday amid investor concern over analysts’ reports that have questioned the sustainability of the low-cost carrier’s business. The move came as AirAsia revealed plans to raise $200m through the issue of convertible bonds for its lossmaking Indonesian and Philippine units, ahead of a proposed stock market listing for each business by 2017. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31360c22-14ba-11e5-a51f-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3t4e8tee4

AirAsia replaces chief February 2, 2015  by Jamie Freed Low-cost long-haul carrier AirAsia X has replaced chief executive Asran Osman-Rani and will raise 395 million ringgit ($140 million) to shore up its balance sheet as a result of deep financial losses, including on flights between Kuala Lumpur and Australia. AirAsia X, which competes for budget traffic between Australia and Asia against Jetstar International and Scoot, lost $96 million in the Australian market in the nine months to September 30, 2014. It has yet to report its December quarter results. The airline on Friday said a new management team would spearhead a "reorganisational and turnaround exercise" that would strengthen the company's balance sheet and maximise profitability. http://www.smh.com.au/business/airasia-replaces-chief-20150201-1335tf.html#ixzz3t4eipjzg


31 January 2015: France opens criminal investigation of crash, French co-pilot's family separately filed charges against Air Asia for endangering lives for lacking the proper permission for the flight


QZ8501: French judge to probe crash, possible ‘manslaughter’ Published: January 31, 2015 08:19 AM PARIS, Jan 31 — France has opened a formal criminal investigation into the crash of an AirAsia plane in the Java Sea last month while a French co-pilot was at the controls, a judicial source said yesterday A judge will investigate possible “manslaughter” in connection with the crash that killed all 162 people on board.... Plesel’s family in France separately filed charges against AirAsia Indonesia for “endangering the life of others” as the airline did not have permission to carry out the flight between Surabaya and Singapore on the day of the crash. “Remi Plesel’s family are delighted at this criminal investigation which, we hope, will reveal the truth,” said their lawyer Eddy Arneton. “It will allow us to finally ask the right questions.” — AFP http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/article/qz8501-french-judge-to-probe-crash-possible-manslaughter#sthash.lagimzd8.dpuf

Captain of AirAsia QZ8501 'out of his seat' before plane lost control: Report UPDATED: 31 Jan 2015 13:59; SINGAPORE: The captain of AirAsia Flight QZ8501, which crashed into the Java Sea on Dec 28, 2014, had left his seat before the plane lost control, according to Reuters on Saturday (Jan 31). Captain Iriyanto “was out of his seat conducting an unorthodox procedure when his co-pilot apparently lost control, and by the time he returned it was too late to save the plane", two unnamed sources familiar with the investigation told Reuters. http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/captain-of-airasia-qz8501/1628328.html

30 January 2015: Pilots disabled computers, triggering events leading to crash


AirAsia disaster: pilots disabled computers moments before crash By Herdaru Purnomo January 30, 2015 Jakarta: The pilots of AirAsia flight 8501 cut power to a critical computer system that normally prevents planes from going out of control shortly before it plunged into the Java Sea, two people with knowledge of the investigation said. The action appears to have helped trigger the events of December 28, when the Airbus A320 climbed so abruptly that it lost lift and it began falling with warnings blaring in the cockpit, the people said. All 162 aboard were killed.... The pilots had been attempting to deal with alerts about the flight augmentation computers, which control the A320's rudder and also automatically prevent it from going too slow. After initial attempts to address the alerts, the flight crew cut power to the entire system, which is comprised of two separate computers that back up each other, the people said.... Flight 8501 climbed more than 1,524 metres in less than 30 seconds, rising above the altitude where it was authorised to fly, Ertata Lananggalih, an investigator with Indonesia's National Transportation Safety Committee, said in Jakarta on Thursday.... The co-pilot, with 2247 hours of flying experience, was at the controls and talking to controllers while the captain, who had 20,537 hours, was monitoring, said Mardjono Siswosuwarno, the lead investigator of the crash. The account was the first description of the last moments of the flight..... http://www.theage.com.au/world/airasia-disaster-pilots-disabled-computers-moments-before-crash-20150129-131qq4.html


20 January 2015: QZ8501 likely stalled after abnormally steep climb?


AirAsia Jet Climbed at Rates Beyond Design of Commercial Planes By I-Made Sentana And 
Gaurav Raghuvanshi  Jan. 20, 2015 8:08 a.m. ET; Plane Climbed at Rates Over 8,000 Feet Per Minute, Transport Minister Says... JAKARTA—Data broadcast from the  AirAsia  jet that crashed on Dec. 28 into the Java Sea killing all 162 people aboard show that the aircraft climbed and descended at extreme rates before disappearing, Ignasius Jonan, Indonesia’s transport minister, said in Parliament on Tuesday.... The plane had requested a diversion and a climb to a higher flight level apparently because of bad weather of but air-traffic controllers weren't able to approve the changes immediately because they wanted to check if other aircraft were flying in the vicinity. By the time the controllers tried to contact the pilots with permission to climb higher, the aircraft was lost. The minister said commercial aircraft aren’t designed to climb at the rates the plane appears to have ascended in the radar logs.... An AirAsia pilot said the normal rate of climb of an A320 jet is between 1,000 feet per minute and 1,200 feet per minute and planes rarely climb at rates more than 1,500 feet per minute on their own. The steep rate of ascent could likely be explained by the aircraft getting caught in an updraft of air in bad weather, the pilot said on condition he not be identified.... http://www.wsj.com/articles/airasia-jet-climbed-at-rates-beyond-design-of-commercial-planes-1421759312

QZ8501 plane likely stalled after steep climb: minister POSTED: 20 Jan 2015
JAKARTA: An AirAsia plane that crashed into the Java Sea last month with 162 people on board had climbed at a speed that was higher than normal and then stalled, Indonesia's transport minister said on Tuesday (Jan 20).... "In the final minutes, the plane climbed at a speed which was beyond normal," said Transport Minister Ignasius Jonan, citing radar data. "The plane suddenly went up at a speed above the normal limit that it was able to climb to. Then it stalled," he told reporters... http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/qz8501-plane-likely/1603572.html

13 January 2015: AirAsia Indonesia's 10-year struggle, Jokowi pledges aviation total reform


Crash upsets AirAsia’s Indonesia ambitions by Ben Bland in Jakarta and Jeremy Grant in Singapore  Last updated: January 12, 2015 5:08 pm; AirAsia founder and chief executive Tony Fernandes has struggled to make headway in Indonesia — one of the world’s fastest-growing aviation markets — because of tough competition and economic turbulence.... Now the ebullient Malaysian tycoon’s Indonesian business is in the headlines for a different reason, after the crash of flight QZ8501 with the loss of all 162 passengers and crew on board.... While recovery efforts continue, AirAsia’s accident-free reputation has taken an immediate hit. The group’s Malaysia-listed shares are down 13 per cent since the incident.... But carriers including AirAsia, founded with one second-hand aircraft in 2001, have been struggling to make money in Indonesia over the past year because of a sharp fall in the rupiah against the US dollar — around 70 per cent of costs including fuel and aircraft are dollar-denominated — and a slowdown in economic growth.... Cutting unprofitable routes and implementing fare increases helped Indonesia AirAsia eke out a small profit in the quarter ended September 30, but it is still lossmaking on a cumulative basis since it was launched a decade ago.
“Lion Air’s Rusdi is a very canny businessman and Tony will have his work cut out for him in Indonesia,” says Shukor Yusof, an aviation analyst at Endau Analytics in Malaysia.... Mr Beer of Citi says Mr Fernandes has built a clever business model with which it can circumvent foreign ownership restrictions in Indonesia and other Asian markets by taking minority stakes in the local operating companies but leasing aircraft to them from the parent group.... http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ceaee908-9718-11e4-9636-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3Og9TsjPb

Indonesia’s Joko Widodo pledges to accelerate reforms 5:08AM by Ben Bland in Jakarta; Indonesian president Joko Widodo has vowed to accelerate economic reforms after surpassing investor expectations in his first three months by abolishing $18bn of wasteful fuel subsidies and neutralising political opposition in the fractious parliament.... When asked whether he could sustain the pace of change, Mr Widodo traced an exponential growth curve with his index finger, saying: “it will be like that”.... The president — who is universally known by his nickname Jokowi — said he would use the fuel subsidy savings to pump billions of dollars into infrastructure investment and push for “total reform” of the aviation sector following the shortcomings highlighted by the AirAsia crash.... But the 53-year-old has moved quietly to stifle his critics by appealing to key opposition politicians and the public. Several opposition parties, including the largest, Golkar, have become mired in internal disputes after senior leaders switched allegiance to Mr Widodo.... Mr Widodo will channel the Rp230tn ($18bn) of savings into infrastructure and social protection, reversing years of under-investment that have hobbled economic growth and left Indonesia with the highest rate of wealth inequality in Asia after China.... The depth of the problems afflicting the civil service has been underlined by the crash of AirAsia Flight QZ8501 en route from Surabaya to Singapore, which revealed worrying flaws in aviation regulation.... Facing his first major crisis as president, Mr Widodo said the government must use the crash as an opportunity “to totally reform our air transportation”, from the central government to the state-owned airport operator and air traffic control service.... http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ae2fd588-9a48-11e4-9602-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3Og9TsjPb


11 January 2015: 61 routes suspended from five airlines, 11 officials suspended


Five airlines sanctioned for flight-permit violations: Minister The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Business | Fri, January 09 2015, 6:39 PM After carrying out a thorough audit of flight permits for all domestic carriers following the AirAsia flight QZ8501 incident, the Transportation Ministry imposed sanctions on five domestic airlines on Friday. Minister Ignasius Jonan said that the companies were national flag carrier Garuda Indonesia, Lion Air, Wings Air, Trans Nusa and Susi Air. In total, the government suspended flight permits for 61 routes from the five airlines. Lion Air, the largest carrier in the country with a market share that reached 42 percent in 2013, committed the most violations, with the government suspending 35 of its routes. Garuda, meanwhile, committed permit violations on four routes. Jonan, however, refused to disclose the individual routes violated by the carriers. - See more at: http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/09/five-airlines-sanctioned-flight-permit-violations-minister.html#sthash.yomDJsOz.dpuf

11 officials suspended in flight-permit violation case Khoirul Amin, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Sat, January 10 2015, 9:48 AM . The Transportation Ministry announced on Friday the suspension or transfer of at least 11 aviation officials at the ministry for their alleged involvement in allowing several airlines to fly without proper permits.Transportation Minister Ignasius Jonan said the disciplinary measure were required to prevent similar reckless actions from occurring in the future. “This is also part of our effort to improve and supervise all officials at our ministry,” he said in a press conference. The suspended officials, who are all from the ministry’s directorate general of air transportation, comprise three officials of echelon II level and seven officials of echelon III level, while one principal operations inspector (POI) has been transferred. - See more at: http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/10/11-officials-suspended-flight-permit-violation-case.html#sthash.witKxVAB.dpuf

9 January 2015: Jokowi orders compensation from Air Asia, KPK steps in and focus is on violated procedures that lead to air disaster, a lawmaker says minister equally responsible, Indonesia aviation needs reform


Jokowi orders AirAsia to pay compensation by Ina Parlina and Hans Nicholas Jong, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Fri, January 09 2015, 10:02 AM; President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo was concerned with the slow compensation payments to next of kin of passengers on board the AirAsia flight QZ8501, Transportation Minister Ignasius Jonan says.Jonan issued the statement after a closed-door meeting with Jokowi on Thursday at the Presidential Office.“The President said that insurance should be paid. I told [him] that there is indeed a regulation covering the issue; Transportation Ministry Regulation No. 77/2011 stipulates that the amount is Rp 1.25 billion [US$98,386] per passenger,” Jonan said. Jonan said that AirAsia must pay the victims’ next of kin regardless of the legal status of the fight. “It has nothing to do with whether the airline is covered by insurance; Rp 1.25 billion per passenger should be paid by the airline.”Local media had earlier reported that AirAsia had only distributed forms to be filled in by QZ8501 passengers’ next of kin for the initial compensation of Rp 300 million per victim..... http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/09/jokowi-orders-airasia-pay-compensation.html#sthash.cJVB5FT8.dpuf

KPK steps into AirAsia flight case Haeril Halim and Nadya Natahadibrata, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Wed, January 07 2015, 9:14 AM; Following the revelation that the crashed AirAsia flight QZ8501 might have obtained a flying permit outside of proper procedures, the country’s antigraft body is offering help to probe into the possibility of bribery having been practiced in the case.The Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) is ready to help the Transportation Ministry to curb alleged irregularities that might lead to corruption or bribery practices plaguing flying permits in the country’s aviation system, the agency’s deputy chairman Bambang Widjojanto said on Tuesday.He said the agency would establish communications with the ministry to find out whether AirAsia had eased its way to obtain flying permits by bribing state officials..... http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/07/kpk-steps-airasia-flight-case.html#sthash.5sdCHBHH.dpuf

Focus turns to AirAsia’s alleged missteps Hans Nicholas Jong and Indra Harsaputra, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Sun, January 04 2015, 10:46 AM; As more than 30 bodies from AirAsia Flight QZ8501 were recovered from the Karimata Strait this weekend, leaked official documents have given rise to allegations that AirAsia Indonesia violated procedures that lead to the disaster..... http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/04/focus-turns-airasia-s-alleged-missteps.html#sthash.Mcrqxvya.dpuf

Transportation minister ‘responsible for alleged illegal flight route’ The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | National | Tue, January 06 2015, 7:47 PM; Transportation Minister Ignasius Jonan should be held responsible an alleged illegal flight schedule involving budget airline AirAsia, according to Bambang Haryo, a member of House of Representatives Commission VI overseeing consumer protection.“The transportation minister should be held equally responsible for the case. A flight-worthiness status, especially for international flights, is based on permission and approval given directly by the transportation minister,” said Bambang as quoted by Antara news agency in Jakarta on Tuesday.He insisted the airline company should not be blamed for the case relating to AirAsia flight QZ8501, which crashed into the waters of the Karimata Strait while en route from Surabaya to Singapore on Dec.28.... http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/01/06/transportation-minister-responsible-alleged-illegal-flight-route.html#sthash.eXcRLgeo.dpuf

Indonesia's Aviation Safety Rules Need Reforming, Opinion By Joshua Kurlantzick   1/8/15 at 4:30 PM Newsweek; The crash of AirAsia Flight 8501, though tragic, was not an enormous surprise to anyone who follows aviation in Indonesia, or who has flown repeatedly in Indonesia. This is not to say that AirAsia has a poor safety record; the airline had never had a fatal accident prior to this one, and AirAsia management has responded admirably to the crash. Senior management, including AirAsia CEO Tony Fernandes, have reached out to families of the survivors, trying to keep them updated about information on the search and rescue operations and personally consoling relatives of people who were on Flight 8501.But anyone who knows aviation in Indonesia knows that the country has a horrific record for airplane accidents and that Indonesia has weaker safety protocols regarding aviation than other middle-income countries..... http://www.newsweek.com/indonesias-aviation-safety-rules-need-reforming-297976


8 January 2014: Indonesia questions on ministry corruption, flouting existing regulations, and rationale of raising fares in wake of Air Asia QZ8501 crash disaster. KPK will investigate corruption in the aviation sector. Minister furious on weather briefing.


 Editorial: Minister’s Punitive Stance Doesn’t Fly By Jakarta Globe on 12:54 am Jan 08, 2015
 Category Editorial, Front Page, Opinion Tags: air transportation, airfare, aviation, Ignasius Jonan, Indonesia AirAsia flight QZ8501; Transportation Minister Ignasius Jonan could have started a revolution within his own ministry — in the directorates general of land, sea and air transportation — by, for instance, punishing corrupt and underperforming officials, establishing a clear system of rewards and disincentives, or being more strict about implementing existing regulations.... The crash of an Indonesia AirAsia jet on Dec. 28 should have been an indication of just what a rotten ministry he inherited — in particular the office dealing with air transportation. Jonan should have overhauled the system, technology and manpower, including those responsible for air traffic control, and for granting flight permits.... Instead, he has chosen to shift the blame form the crash of the plane, which was not permitted to fly on a Sunday, to private airlines. He has also punished the public by implementing a new regulation that caps minimum ticket prices. The cheapest ticket now available may not be less than 40 percent of the price of the most expensive one for any given route. His rationale? Ticket prices are so low that poor profitability impairs airlines’ ability to comply with aviation safety standards.... This is as nonsensical as anything can get, and against the law of free market competition... http://thejakartaglobe.beritasatu.com/opinion/editorial-ministers-punitive-stance-doesnt-fly/

AirAsia Banned From Flying Key Routes: Report, Jan. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Alia Karenina has the latest developments in the search for AirAsia Flight QZ8501. She speaks on "On The Move Asia." (Source: Bloomberg) http://www.bloomberg.com/video/airasia-banned-from-flying-key-routes-report-DMl8NSWcTy61rLGA6_zP9A.html; note: There will be an investigation by KPK, the Indonesia anti-corruption agency. The official who approved the Air Asia flight has been suspended. KPK will check if other airlines were flying on non-authorized schedules. This will be the first KPK anti-corruption crackdown on the Indonesia aviation sector. Air Asia Surabaya-Singapore and Medan-Palembang routes have been suspended. Air Asia says it has a 7-days flying permit and that there is merely an administrative error.

Air Asia insurance compensation will look into irregularities. Initial Victim Compensation Is Goodwill: Ribbands, Jan. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Victorian Branch Aviation Law Association of Australia and New Zealand Chairman and Aviation Lawyer John Ribbands discusses the legal aspects of the crash of AirAsia Flight QZ8501 with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat on “On The Move.” (Source: Bloomberg) http://www.bloomberg.com/video/initial-victim-compensation-is-goodwill-ribbands-TsEtkym1QdyUW6j_EMQEjg.html.

 Minister furious AirAsia 'flouted procedure' 5:12PM Jan 2, 2015 by Malaysiakini; According to Indonesia's detik.com, the minister expressed his anger after visiting the airline's headquarters near Jakarta to observe its pre-flight procedures.... Quoting the minister’s aide, the news portal said Jonan warned that stern action would be taken against the breaches.... "Jonan is angry at AirAsia. Furious… Prior to departure, the pilot is supposed to get a briefing directly from the flight operations officer (FOO), especially on the weather.... "However all this while, AirAsia simply relied on the Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics' (BMKG) website," said his aide Hadi M Djuraid.....
 Meanwhile, Indonesian portal Tempo reported what supposedly transpired during the minister's surprise visit, saying that an unnamed AirAsia Indonesia director had defended its reliance on BMKG’s website.... "This is how it is done internationally. To physically take weather information from BMKG is the 'traditional' way," the director reportedly said to Jonan.Jonan then rebutted by asking why AirAsia is still taking hard copies of BMKG’s weather reports, even after QZ8501 had gone missing, but the reply came, “Yes, because that’s tradition.”... This reportedly infuriated Jonan, who said, “When there are rules, you should follow it. Don’t fight, or I’ll strip you of your licence.”... The director reportedly promised to comply with the regulations.... http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/285175